Roop Vision

Sunday, August 31, 2008 (10:33 pm)

Kal Penn visits UF.

Filed under: Alligator,Journalism,Video — daweathaman @ 10:33 pm

By Charles E. Roop

This was my first Alligator online video that I edited with Final Cut Express 4. It was a little tough at first. However, thanks to Steve, I was able to figure it out and go from there.

Actor Kal Penn (from Harold and Kumar, and House) visited UF to campaign for Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama.

I actually got word back from the University desk that Penn and the Obama organizers liked this video. I felt kind of star struck. If Kal Peen ever reads this, I say “thanks for the comment.”

Since I can not get the video to be embedded (damn you, WordPress), here is the link: Kal Penn Campaigns for Sen. Obama at UF.

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Friday, August 22, 2008 (8:58 am)

Fay Passing Over Alachua County

Filed under: Photography,Weather — daweathaman @ 8:58 am

By Charles E. Roop


Source: Weathertap.com

I checked the radar this morning and was surprised to see that Fay was passing over the state. In fact, its center of circulation was near Gainesville, or 50 miles northeast of Cedar Key according to the 8 a.m. advisory. Max sustained winds have dropped to 45 mph, but the pressure remains a little low at 996 mb (the pressure is currently 995 mb at my apartment).

I expect Fay to continue to slowly move to the west and the right side of the storm continue to move through today, bringing occasional heavy rains and gusty winds with a moderate risk of tornadoes.

A wind advisory continues to be in effect until 8 p.m. EDT while a flood watch remains until late tonight for Alahcua County.

Yesterday, I spent some time getting photos in the heavy rain. A tree fell on Southwest 13th Street south of Archer Road in Gainesville on Thursday. The southbound lane was shut down and traffic was rerouted.

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The above photo is also on the main page of the Alligator’s website (http://www.alligator.org).

I will be out later today getting some video for the Alligator. I will bring back more updates when possible.

Thursday, August 21, 2008 (11:22 am)

Fay moving? (Thurs AM Update)

Filed under: Weather — daweathaman @ 11:22 am

By Charles E. Roop

I woke up this morning thinking that the storm was starting to move onshore. I checked the radar at 9 a.m. and found that it was still off shore of Daytona Beach. However, in the last few frames of the KJAX radar, it seems to be making a slow westward jog. If it keeps at this pace, Gainesville could get the first bands of rain within the next two or three hours.

St. Augustine is currently reporting winds of 30 knots while Gainesville’s winds are at around 10 knots. Winds at Ormond Beach are at around 15 knots.

The NHC says that the ridge that is building to the north should start to move this storm slowly to the west or west-northwest “soon.”

The winds and pressure are steady at 60 mph and 994 mb since the last blog post.

It seems to be a big rain event expected for the area. Then again, Gainesville needs it. So far this year, the airport has a 7.70-inch rain deficit. Brevard County does not need the rain anymore, but Gainesville could use some…but not all at once. That’s why there are flood watches still in effect for the area as well as a wind advisory. A slight tornado risk is possible from the rain bands in the northeast quadrant when the system passes later on.

Expect the next update later this evening.

Wednesday, August 20, 2008 (11:32 pm)

Wed. Night Fay Update

Filed under: Weather — daweathaman @ 11:32 pm

By Charles E. Roop

Fay is still looking a little impressive on the local radars and infrared satellite. The central pressure has settled to 994 mb with max sustained winds at 60 mph. The NHC’s forecast track has shifted a little more south, making landfall in north Volusia County Thursday morning and passing through southern Alachua / northern Marion counties sometime Thursday evening.


Source: hurricanealley.net

A wind advisory is in effect for Alachua County as well as a flood watch. Updates should come Thursday.

Still holding on…

Filed under: Weather — daweathaman @ 7:52 pm

By Charles E. Roop

I actually saw the sun for a little while here in southwest Gainesville this evening. Still, this seems to be the calm before the storm.

Fay is hanging off shore of Edgewater (southern Volusia County) and could start to turn more west or west-northwest any minute now based on upper-air flow patterns. The ridge is starting to move over Fay and another trough is expected to push the storm to the west.

Some interesting news to point out: the pressure has dropped slightly from 997 mb to 993 mb according to the latest hurricane hunter recon data. Also, NWS Melbourne radar shows the “eye” starting to close in. It’s showing the same thing on the latest infrared satellite loops. Now that the center of circulation is 98 percent over water, it might have a slight chance of some reorganization and strengthening. I doubt that this will be a hurricane, but it has a slim chance to be a stronger tropical storm.

The impacts on Alachua County seem to be more of a heavy rain event. On the graphical local tropical outlook provided by NWS-JAX, it shows a high hazard of flooding for all of northeast Florida, including Alachua County. There is a slight risk of tornadoes for the area, but a next-to-none wind risk.

NWS-JAX has predicted winds of 25-30 mph tonight with gusts to 40 mph for Alachua County. Thursday looks a little iffy for travel with a 90 percent chance of rain and sustained winds between 30 and 35 mph with gusts to 50. The wind will stick around until Friday and rain chances return to near normal starting Sunday.

If you live in a flood-prone area in north Florida, I strongly urge you to prepare for possible flooding. The area is expected to get between 6 to 12 inches of rain with isolated higher totals. One location in Brevard County received nearly two feet of rain from this storm (mainly due to the slow movement).

I might make a short update before I go to sleep tonight, but I will make as many updates as possible tomorrow with pictures and/or video.

Fay lingers near the Space Coast

Filed under: Weather — daweathaman @ 1:31 pm

By Charles E. Roop

Fay has taken a bad spill after making its first landfall Tuesday. The winds are now at 50 mph with a minimum central pressure of 995 mb. It is moving very slowly north at 3 mph. With the system hugging the coast (15 miles north of Cape Canaveral as of 11 a.m. EDT) and have already stirred up the ocean waters under the system, I do not see much of a reason to expect much intensification. It could be, at most, a strong tropical storm (winds 65-70 mph) at landfall. None of the models have the intensity above 60 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows a well-defined system, but the infrared sat shows lack of convection at the center but with strong rain bands to the north and east of the center. The center of the storm seems wider from looking at the KMLB radar.

As for its track, most of the models have Fay now entering in Volusia or Flagler counties and come right through north central Florida (some through Gainesville). The NHC’s general guidance (as seen below) shows the storm barely at tropical storm strength when it passes just to the north of Gainesville on Thursday evening.

It looks like it might just be a rain and moderate wind event come Thursday for the Gainesville area. Expect an update on this later this evening.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008 (11:53 pm)

Fay Nears Atlantic

Filed under: Weather — daweathaman @ 11:53 pm

By Charles E. Roop

Tropical Storm Fay has been inland since early this morning, slightly intensified while inland, and is now starting to show signs of some weakening before entering the Atlantic tonight.

As of 11 p.m. EDT, Fay was 30 miles south-southwest of Melbourne, Fla. and its movement was slow and erradic. However, based on recent radar imagery, the storm seems to be moving north-northeast once again. Winds have decreased to 50 mph and the pressure has risen to 990 mb.

A lot of the convection and heavy activity near the center of circulation has decreased during the evening. Once the storm enters back into the Atlantic in just a few hours, Fay may have the chance to reorganize and could become a hurricane. Any intensification could be bad due to the fact that the storm has a good chance of making a second landfall sometime Thursday afternoon or evening. The NHC is predicting landfall in St. Johns County. However, the room for error is large due to the different paths forecast models are taking. Some have the storm making a sharper turn to the west-northwest and making landfall more south (i.e. Flagler or Volusia County) while others have the storm making landfall in extreme southern Georgia.

The trough that has been pulling the storm to the north is expected to be out and the ridge is forecast to move in, which would push Fay more west.

According to The Weather Channel, eight reported tornadoes have hit Florida so far due to Fay. One tornado hit in Barefoot Bay in Brevard County. Fifty-one homes were damaged, but luckily, only a few minor injuries.

For Gainesville, only a few minor squall lines came through the Gainesville area today (Tuesday) bringing brief showers. As of now, only 0.12 inches of rain has fell at Gainesville Regional Airport today. Things might change if the storm comes back towards Gainesville. A flood watch is in effect for Alachua County as well as a Tropical Storm Wind Watch. Some squalls could pass through the area tonight and through the day Wednesday.

I will be watching the weather and write updates as much as possible tomorrow. Stay tuned.

Vacation Photos

Filed under: Life,Photography,Weather — daweathaman @ 2:56 pm

By Charles E. Roop

Here are a few shots from our trip to the Datyona area…

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Back from Ormond and tracking Fay.

Filed under: Weather — daweathaman @ 1:40 pm

By Charles E. Roop

I’m back in Gainesville and checking the stats on Fay. The storm made landfall this morning as a strong tropical storm 20 miles south of Naples (where I thought it would hit). It is currently west-northwest of Clewiston in south central Florida. It still looks very nice on the Miami radar. Fay is moving north-northeast at 8 mph according to the recent advisory from the NHC. The winds are at 65 mph and, surprisingly, the minimum central pressure has not increased at all and remains at 986 mb. The pressure has slightly fallen since landfall.

Most models are having the storm move north-northeast, slow down once it moves out into the Atlantic and move west to north Florda. There is a concern of the storm restrengthening when it moves out into the ocean. Then again, that depends on how long it stays out there.

Most of the heavy rainbands are from south Osceola County east to Vero Beach and back offshore from Vero Beach south to West Palm Beach. Gainesville got hit with a squall line with some nice rain just a few minutes ago, but has since left. Impacts to Alachua County seem low at this point with winds forecast to be 20-25 mph this afternoon. Rain may be a concern if the storm decides to turn to north Florida. We will have to wait and see, but things look calm in the Gainesville vicinity at this point.

Monday, August 18, 2008 (8:04 pm)

Fay Update – Mon. Evening

Filed under: Weather — daweathaman @ 8:04 pm

By Charles E. Roop

ORMOND BEACH, FLA. – I back in the lounge to write a quick update. Fay is still moving north-northwest according to the latest advisory from the NHC. They predict the storm to hit after 2 a.m. Tuesday and continue north or north-northeast. Things get a little tricky after landfall on where it will go. It could either head north-northeast and exit near Jacksonville and go out to sea. However, there are some models that have the storm taking a track off shore and heading back west to north Florida. The possibility is that the ridge will build back up and block the storm according the the recent discussion from the NHC.

I am withdrawing my last prediction about how the storm will not become a hurricane. I take that back. The storm seems to be reorganizing. The infrared satellite imagery seems to look good and the central pressure has dropped slightly. The longer the storm stays out there in the water, the higher the chance this could be a hurricane.

Erin and I are considering departing the area tomorrow morning and be back in Gainesville before noon.
This might be my last blog post until I return home. Therefore, check back tomorrow afternoon for updates.

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